Fortuna Köln vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
35%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
SCH
0 - 0
KÖL
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
KÖL
5 - 0
OSV
84%
11%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
EBT
1 - 0
KÖL
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
63%
20%
16%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
0 - 1
ISC
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1981 |
BRE
0 - 0
VIK
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1981 |
HAN
0 - 0
BRE
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1981 |
BRE
2 - 0
RWL
84%
11%
5%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1981 |
ISC
1 - 3
BRE
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1981 |
SCH
0 - 2
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |