Fortuna Köln vs Werder Bremen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
F95
1 - 2
KÖL
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 1
PRE
53%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2001 |
BAB
0 - 0
KÖL
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
ERZ
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 1
KÖL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2001 |
WER
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 0
WER
47%
25%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
WER
2 - 1
TEN
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2001 |
EBT
1 - 2
WER
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
WER
0 - 0
WAT
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |