Fortuna Köln vs Wegberg-Beeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
35%
26%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ERK
0 - 1
KÖL
25%
24%
52%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
KÖL
3 - 1
HUL
69%
19%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MSV
1 - 0
KÖL
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wegberg-Beeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
ROT
1 - 3
WEG
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
3 - 1
WHE
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
SPE
4 - 1
WEG
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
WEG
1 - 0
AAA
12%
20%
68%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +3 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
WEG
0 - 2
BER
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |