Fortuna Köln vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
HAM
2 - 0
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 2
AAA
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 1
KÖL
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ESS
4 - 2
KÖL
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 24 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 2
GEW
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
GUT
0 - 1
WAT
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 3
ESS
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 2
WAT
50%
24%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
WAT
2 - 0
DSC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |