Fortuna Köln vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
WAB
2 - 2
KÖL
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 4
KFC
53%
22%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
KÖL
0 - 2
PRE
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
HAN
3 - 3
KÖL
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
WAT
1 - 1
WHE
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
TEN
2 - 1
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
WAB
4 - 2
WAT
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
WAT
5 - 1
KFC
45%
23%
31%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
AAA
0 - 1
WAT
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |