Fortuna Köln vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
NOR
2 - 0
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ISC
3 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1977 |
KÖL
0 - 2
WUP
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
WAB
1 - 2
KÖL
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
KÖL
4 - 3
USO
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
WAT
1 - 2
TSV
80%
11%
8%
|
59 | 17 | 42 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
KFC
4 - 1
WAT
67%
19%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1977 |
WAT
0 - 0
AHA
64%
20%
15%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1977 |
WAT
1 - 2
HAN
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1977 |
PRE
5 - 0
WAT
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |