Fortuna Köln vs Viktoria Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
VFB
5 - 0
KÖL
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 2
TEN
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
FCB
1 - 1
KÖL
37%
25%
38%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ROT
79%
14%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
OSN
3 - 1
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Viktoria Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
ISC
3 - 3
VIK
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1980 |
VIK
4 - 1
VFB
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
TEN
2 - 2
VIK
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
VIK
3 - 3
FCB
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1980 |
ROT
0 - 0
VIK
41%
28%
31%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |