Fortuna Köln vs Neusss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
KLA
0 - 3
KÖL
16%
19%
65%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
KÖL
0 - 2
WUP
41%
27%
33%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SWE
66%
19%
14%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
KFC
1 - 4
KÖL
51%
22%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
KÖL
4 - 1
ARG
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Neusss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
NEU
2 - 1
SWE
43%
28%
30%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
KFC
2 - 0
NEU
78%
16%
7%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
NEU
2 - 3
ARG
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
PRE
2 - 0
NEU
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
NEU
0 - 2
GUT
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |