Fortuna Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
MAG
7 - 1
KÖL
62%
20%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
KÖL
3 - 1
VER
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BAY
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2002 |
OSN
4 - 0
DRE
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2002 |
CHE
1 - 1
OSN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
OSN
2 - 0
KFC
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
LUB
2 - 0
OSN
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
F95
4 - 1
OSN
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -2 |