Fortuna Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1991 |
KFC
4 - 0
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1991 |
BSV
2 - 0
KÖL
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1991 |
KÖL
3 - 3
EBT
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
HER
3 - 2
KÖL
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1991 |
KÖL
3 - 3
MEP
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1991 |
OSN
3 - 0
EBT
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
HER
1 - 1
OSN
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1991 |
OSN
1 - 3
MEP
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1991 |
STP
0 - 0
OSN
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1991 |
OSN
0 - 1
HAN
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |