Fortuna Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
SCF
4 - 1
KÖL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
KÖL
1 - 1
BWB
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
UNT
1 - 2
KÖL
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
KÖL
3 - 0
MEP
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
S04
3 - 0
KÖL
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
WAT
0 - 2
OSN
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1989 |
OSN
0 - 3
WAT
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
SAA
7 - 1
OSN
58%
22%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1989 |
OSN
3 - 1
AAA
53%
24%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1989 |
EBT
3 - 1
OSN
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |