Fortuna Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1989 |
DAR
2 - 1
KÖL
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1989 |
S04
3 - 3
KÖL
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1989 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VIK
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
ROT
3 - 4
KÖL
45%
25%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
KÖL
3 - 2
EBT
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1989 |
SAA
2 - 0
OSN
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1989 |
HOM
1 - 1
OSN
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1989 |
OSN
4 - 3
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1989 |
OSN
2 - 0
DAR
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1989 |
VIK
1 - 1
OSN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |