Fortuna Köln vs VfL Osnabrück analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
WAT
0 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 0
HAN
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
RWL
1 - 0
KÖL
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 0
ROT
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
KÖL
2 - 2
ERK
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Osnabrück
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
OSN
4 - 1
VIK
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1981 |
VFB
0 - 0
OSN
44%
26%
31%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
OSN
2 - 2
TEN
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
OSN
4 - 0
ISC
72%
17%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
OSN
1 - 4
BRE
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |