Fortuna Köln vs Speldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPR
0 - 1
KÖL
12%
19%
70%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
WHE
2 - 3
KÖL
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 4
MSV
66%
19%
14%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ESS
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Speldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SPE
0 - 0
ABI
14%
20%
66%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPE
0 - 3
ROT
16%
21%
63%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
SPE
2 - 1
BSC
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BOR
5 - 0
SPE
86%
9%
4%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
SPE
1 - 0
GEW
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | +3 |