Fortuna Köln vs VfB Oldenburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
TEN
1 - 2
KÖL
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
KÖL
3 - 3
FCB
76%
15%
9%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
ROT
1 - 2
KÖL
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
KÖL
1 - 2
OSN
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
WAT
0 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
31%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Oldenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1981 |
VFB
2 - 2
VIK
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1981 |
VFB
2 - 2
ISC
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
TEN
0 - 0
VFB
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1981 |
VFB
4 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1981 |
ROT
2 - 1
VFB
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |