Fortuna Köln vs Verl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BAY
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
69%
18%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
KÖL
2 - 0
ERZ
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
EBT
2 - 2
KÖL
70%
18%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Verl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
VER
4 - 2
DRE
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
CHE
3 - 1
VER
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
VER
2 - 1
KFC
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
LUB
0 - 2
VER
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
VER
2 - 1
OSN
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |