Fortuna Köln vs Ulm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
ROT
2 - 0
KÖL
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
KÖL
1 - 6
SVS
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
OSN
3 - 0
KÖL
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
KÖL
4 - 2
SAL
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
SAA
3 - 3
KÖL
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1986 |
ULM
1 - 1
HES
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1986 |
STP
0 - 0
ULM
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
ROT
1 - 1
ULM
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
ULM
2 - 1
SVS
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
OSN
3 - 0
ULM
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |