Fortuna Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
AAA
1 - 1
KÖL
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 3
KSC
23%
24%
54%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
HAN
3 - 1
KÖL
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
STP
0 - 2
ULM
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
STP
1 - 1
OFC
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 3
STP
31%
26%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
STP
0 - 2
MON
30%
25%
45%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
TEN
2 - 0
STP
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |