Fortuna Köln vs Sprockhövel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
KÖL
4 - 0
SCH
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
MSV
2 - 3
KÖL
35%
23%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
WAT
2 - 0
KÖL
23%
22%
55%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
ABI
1 - 1
KÖL
29%
24%
47%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 0
SWE
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sprockhövel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ABI
3 - 1
SPR
82%
13%
5%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SPR
2 - 4
SWE
13%
21%
67%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 0
SPR
87%
9%
4%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
ESS
3 - 2
SPR
75%
16%
10%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SPR
1 - 3
KLE
19%
22%
59%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |