Fortuna Köln vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
HUL
1 - 2
KÖL
21%
23%
57%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
KÖL
2 - 3
BER
77%
16%
8%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 4
KÖL
18%
22%
60%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 2
WIE
79%
15%
6%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPE
79%
15%
7%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SWE
0 - 1
SPO
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
4 - 1
ESS
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
KLE
0 - 3
SPO
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
WHE
2 - 2
SPO
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
GEW
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |