Fortuna Köln vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
BWB
2 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
KÖL
3 - 1
MEP
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
SCF
2 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
KÖL
3 - 0
OFC
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
WAT
1 - 3
KÖL
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1988 |
S04
0 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
SAA
2 - 1
S04
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1988 |
S04
0 - 2
OSN
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
DAR
2 - 1
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
S04
0 - 0
VIK
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |