Fortuna Köln vs Schalke 04 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 4
KAI
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IDA
1 - 3
KÖL
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WIE
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 1
KÖL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
WUP
1 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Schalke 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
S04
2 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
S04
1 - 1
BAY
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 1
S04
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
S04
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2011 |
WUP
2 - 0
S04
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |