DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 1-0
Fortuna Köln vs Julich 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
1 - 5
KÖL
32%
26%
42%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 1
OSN
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 3
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 0
ROT
63%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 0
S04
34%
23%
43%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Julich 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
SCJ
4 - 2
TSV
87%
10%
4%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
SCJ
4 - 0
VBD
87%
9%
3%
|
39 | 15 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
VBD
2 - 2
SCJ
17%
24%
60%
|
40 | 13 | 27 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
SCJ
2 - 1
GOP
47%
24%
28%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |