Fortuna Köln vs SC Herford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
KÖL
2 - 1
WUP
58%
21%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
WAT
5 - 2
KÖL
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
ARB
2 - 4
KÖL
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 2
KÖL
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Herford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1978 |
SCH
3 - 1
OSN
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1978 |
WUP
3 - 1
SCH
73%
17%
11%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1977 |
AAA
5 - 3
SCH
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1977 |
SCH
1 - 2
WAT
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
KFC
3 - 1
SCH
72%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |