Fortuna Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1990 |
HAN
3 - 3
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
KÖL
1 - 1
VFB
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1990 |
FCR
3 - 2
KÖL
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1990 |
PRE
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1990 |
KÖL
2 - 5
PRE
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1990 |
SCF
2 - 1
M05
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1990 |
SCF
2 - 1
MEP
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1990 |
SHN
2 - 1
SCF
9%
19%
72%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1990 |
HAN
0 - 2
SCF
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1990 |
SCF
6 - 1
MEP
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +2 |