Fortuna Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
OFC
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 3
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
2 - 4
SAA
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
STP
1 - 1
SCF
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
SCF
3 - 2
OFC
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
SVS
4 - 2
SCF
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1987 |
SCF
3 - 0
AAA
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |