Fortuna Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
BWB
3 - 0
KÖL
41%
21%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
VIK
1 - 3
KÖL
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 0
OSN
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
MSV
0 - 2
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
KÖL
0 - 3
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
HAN
3 - 1
SCF
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 4
ARB
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1985 |
HOM
2 - 0
SCF
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 2
EBT
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1985 |
ROT
0 - 0
SCF
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |