Fortuna Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1985 |
KÖL
1 - 0
HER
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
MSV
5 - 0
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1985 |
KÖL
2 - 0
FCN
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
HAN
3 - 2
KÖL
58%
21%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
HES
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SC Freiburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1985 |
SCF
2 - 1
BUR
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
HER
0 - 0
SCF
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
FCN
2 - 1
SCF
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1985 |
SCF
1 - 1
HAN
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1984 |
HOM
0 - 1
SCF
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |