Fortuna Köln vs Salmrohr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
SAA
3 - 3
KÖL
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
KÖL
3 - 3
KSC
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
HAN
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
22%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
SVS
0 - 1
KÖL
20%
21%
59%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
KÖL
2 - 1
USO
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Salmrohr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
SAL
0 - 5
HES
26%
28%
47%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
ULM
3 - 0
SAL
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
SAL
2 - 4
ROT
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
SVS
2 - 1
SAL
81%
13%
6%
|
37 | 74 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
SAL
2 - 3
OSN
24%
27%
49%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |