Fortuna Köln vs 1. FC Saarbrücken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
OSN
3 - 0
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
KÖL
5 - 3
USO
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
ULM
3 - 1
KÖL
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 4
ROT
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
BWB
1 - 0
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
1. FC Saarbrücken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1987 |
SAA
1 - 0
OFC
49%
24%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1987 |
AAA
4 - 2
SAA
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1987 |
SAA
2 - 2
BAY
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1987 |
SCF
1 - 1
SAA
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1987 |
OSN
1 - 2
SAA
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |