Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
21%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCF
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
OFC
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 0
SCF
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
KÖL
0 - 3
AAA
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
BAY
2 - 0
KÖL
39%
28%
34%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1987 |
ROT
1 - 3
OFC
58%
21%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1987 |
AAA
1 - 1
ROT
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1987 |
FCR
1 - 1
ROT
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
ROT
2 - 0
BAY
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
SAA
1 - 1
ROT
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |