Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
KÖL
3 - 2
SAA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
KSC
1 - 0
KÖL
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
KÖL
1 - 1
HAN
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
USO
3 - 0
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1987 |
DAR
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
AAA
0 - 0
ROT
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1987 |
ROT
3 - 0
SCF
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1987 |
EBT
2 - 0
ROT
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
ROT
3 - 1
WAT
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
ULM
0 - 1
ROT
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |