Fortuna Köln vs Rot-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
KÖL
5 - 1
DAR
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
AAA
0 - 0
KÖL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
KÖL
0 - 0
WAT
75%
16%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
KSC
4 - 3
KÖL
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCF
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
ROT
2 - 4
AAA
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
WAT
2 - 1
ROT
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1983 |
ROT
0 - 4
KSC
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SCF
1 - 0
ROT
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
ROT
0 - 0
MSV
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |