Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 4
KÖL
22%
23%
56%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 1
KÖL
76%
15%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2018 |
ROT
0 - 0
KÖL
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
DIE
1 - 1
KÖL
16%
20%
64%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
KÖL
2 - 4
PAD
18%
24%
58%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
HER
2 - 2
PRE
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
PRE
4 - 1
WAT
74%
16%
10%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
PRE
3 - 3
VER
75%
16%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
WIE
2 - 1
PRE
16%
22%
61%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SGS
2 - 2
PRE
40%
27%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |