Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2001 |
BAB
0 - 0
KÖL
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
ERZ
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 1
KÖL
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
KÖL
4 - 0
TEN
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
DRE
2 - 1
KÖL
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2001 |
PRE
2 - 0
ERZ
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 0
PRE
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
PRE
5 - 2
TEN
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
EBT
2 - 1
PRE
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
PRE
2 - 2
WAT
52%
23%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |