Fortuna Köln vs Preußen Münster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
HER
3 - 0
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1990 |
HES
1 - 0
KÖL
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
KÖL
1 - 1
WAT
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
SAA
2 - 2
KÖL
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
KÖL
0 - 0
AAA
56%
23%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1990 |
PRE
1 - 0
WAT
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1990 |
SAA
1 - 0
PRE
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1990 |
PRE
2 - 0
AAA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 May. 1990 |
EBT
1 - 2
PRE
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
PRE
1 - 3
ROT
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |