Fortuna Köln vs OSC Bremerhaven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
SCH
1 - 4
KÖL
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
WUP
1 - 1
KÖL
67%
19%
15%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
KÖL
2 - 2
WAT
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
NOR
2 - 0
KÖL
32%
23%
45%
|
64 | 20 | 44 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
ISC
3 - 1
KÖL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
OSC Bremerhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
OSC
0 - 1
AUG
25%
19%
56%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
OSC
0 - 0
WUP
23%
25%
52%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1977 |
WAT
2 - 2
OSC
84%
10%
6%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 1977 |
OSC
0 - 3
ARB
22%
25%
53%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1977 |
OSC
3 - 2
PRE
24%
20%
57%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +2 |