Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1996 |
M05
2 - 0
KÖL
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
KÖL
1 - 0
ARB
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1996 |
KÖL
6 - 0
CZJ
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
UNT
2 - 0
KÖL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1996 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WOL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1996 |
MSV
1 - 1
FCN
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1996 |
LUB
2 - 1
MSV
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1996 |
HER
1 - 0
MSV
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
MSV
3 - 1
MEP
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1996 |
MSV
5 - 1
LOK
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |