Fortuna Köln vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ESS
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 0
KÖL
22%
23%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
KÖL
0 - 1
SOI
78%
15%
7%
|
53 | 26 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 3
KÖL
13%
21%
66%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MSV
0 - 0
BSC
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
DSC
1 - 2
MSV
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 3
VEL
74%
16%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SCH
2 - 2
MSV
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 1
WAT
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |