Fortuna Köln vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
TEN
0 - 1
KÖL
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1993 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SVS
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1993 |
ROT
3 - 0
KÖL
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1993 |
KÖL
0 - 0
ROS
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1993 |
SCF
4 - 1
KÖL
76%
15%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1993 |
STP
1 - 0
M05
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1993 |
M05
1 - 1
WUP
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
RTV
2 - 0
M05
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1993 |
M05
1 - 1
MUN
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1993 |
SAA
2 - 0
M05
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |