Fortuna Köln vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 2
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
13%
20%
67%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
KÖL
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
KÖL
4 - 1
BSC
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
KÖL
1 - 0
MAI
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
KSC
2 - 0
MAG
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 3
MAG
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MAG
3 - 0
VFR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
FSV
0 - 1
MAG
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MAG
1 - 0
HAL
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |