Fortuna Köln vs KFC Uerdingen 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 2
M05
13%
21%
66%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 3
AAA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
KÖL
2 - 2
MLL
15%
22%
64%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 3
BOR
59%
23%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 4
KÖL
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
KFC Uerdingen 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
KFC
0 - 2
S04
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
WAT
0 - 2
KFC
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
KFC
2 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2013 |
VFB
1 - 1
KFC
13%
19%
68%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
KAP
2 - 2
KFC
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |