Fortuna Köln vs Karlsruher SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
HAN
3 - 1
KÖL
71%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
KÖL
1 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 1
KÖL
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1999 |
KÖL
2 - 1
M05
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1999 |
COT
2 - 0
KÖL
57%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1999 |
KSC
1 - 1
OFC
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
WAL
1 - 1
KSC
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1999 |
KSC
3 - 0
MON
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
TEN
2 - 2
KSC
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1999 |
KSC
1 - 3
RTV
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |