Fortuna Köln vs Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
0 - 2
UNT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1995 |
WOL
1 - 3
KÖL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1995 |
KÖL
2 - 0
WAT
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
WAL
2 - 0
KÖL
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1995 |
KÖL
5 - 0
ZWI
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
KAI
1 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1995 |
BVB
1 - 1
KAI
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1995 |
KAI
3 - 1
KOL
65%
20%
16%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
MUN
1 - 3
KAI
25%
25%
50%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1995 |
KAI
4 - 1
HSV
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |