Fortuna Köln vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
CZJ
2 - 2
KÖL
51%
26%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1993 |
KFC
0 - 2
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 1993 |
KÖL
1 - 2
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1993 |
WUP
1 - 2
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
KÖL
1 - 2
RTV
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
HER
1 - 1
KFC
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
STP
1 - 0
HER
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1993 |
HER
0 - 3
WUP
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 08 Nov. 1993 |
RTV
3 - 1
HER
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1993 |
HER
0 - 1
MUN
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |