Fortuna Köln vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1991 |
MEP
1 - 0
KÖL
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1991 |
BRE
0 - 7
KÖL
23%
24%
54%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 1991 |
KÖL
1 - 1
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
HOM
3 - 2
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
KÖL
0 - 2
SVS
34%
27%
40%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1991 |
HER
1 - 1
EBT
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 1991 |
SCJ
2 - 1
HER
15%
20%
65%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 1991 |
BSV
0 - 1
HER
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1991 |
HER
1 - 2
LEV
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1991 |
KFC
1 - 2
HER
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |