Fortuna Köln vs Hammer SpVg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
WIE
0 - 0
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 3
ABI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -3 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SWE
1 - 1
KÖL
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 1
ESS
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Hammer SpVg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2010 |
WHE
1 - 1
HAM
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 1
ABI
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
HAM
1 - 1
GEW
18%
24%
58%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 1
SPE
28%
25%
47%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 1
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |