Fortuna Köln vs Freiburger FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
USO
4 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
KÖL
5 - 2
OSN
65%
19%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
MUN
4 - 0
KÖL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
HES
1 - 0
KÖL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
KÖL
4 - 3
OFC
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Freiburger FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1981 |
FRE
2 - 3
HER
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
SGF
2 - 1
FRE
40%
25%
35%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
FRE
4 - 2
WWO
67%
18%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
FRE
5 - 1
CEL
86%
10%
5%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
HAN
3 - 3
FRE
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |