Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
PAD
1 - 1
KÖL
45%
26%
30%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
KÖL
0 - 2
DRE
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
CHE
3 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
KÖL
1 - 2
KFC
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
LUB
2 - 0
KÖL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
F95
1 - 1
ROT
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
F95
0 - 3
BAY
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
DRE
3 - 1
F95
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
F95
1 - 0
WAT
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
CHE
1 - 0
F95
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |