Fortuna Köln vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 1
KÖL
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
2 - 1
SPO
30%
27%
44%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
2 - 1
S04
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
KÖL
3 - 4
KAI
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IDA
1 - 3
KÖL
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 3
BOR
19%
23%
59%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
EIN
23%
25%
53%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
S04
2 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
IDA
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +2 |